Days-to-target calculator

How long should the challenge take at your pace, and is the time limit realistic? The average answer, plus the range your results could actually fall in.

Time to target

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Trading days at your average

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Weeks at your average

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Median days (simulated)

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Middle 60% of finishes

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Reach the target

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Needed per day for the time limit

How it works

Your average day makes expectancy × risk × trades per day, where expectancy is win rate × reward:risk − loss rate − costs, in R. Days at your average = remaining target ÷ average day, rounded up, and never fewer than the minimum trading days left.

The average hides a lot of luck. The simulation plays thousands of challenges with your stats, one trade at a time, and reports the median and the middle 60% of finishing days among the runs that reached the target, plus how many hit the max drawdown first. Runs without a time limit stop after 500 days.

Trades are independent and risk is a fixed % of the starting balance. The daily loss limit and trailing drawdowns aren’t modelled here: use the pass-odds calculator for those. A short time limit tempts you to raise risk, which raises the odds of a breach too. See why traders fail prop challenges.